We head to the American Athletic Conference next where the sixth-ranked Houston Cougars visit the SMU Mustangs in Dallas, Texas. These are the top two teams in the conference, and have yet to meet so far this season. Houston has been a runaway freight train so far, compiling a 20-2 record. The Cougars are just playing fundamental basketball and dominating the boards and the turnover margins. With a strong defense and an efficient offense, it should come as no surprise that they are one of the top ranked teams in the nation. For SMU to have any chance they need to out-gun the Cougars.
The Mustangs have hit the most three-pointers in the conference over the second half of the season, and could give Houston some trouble. If there are no rebounds off of shots, then how can Houston dominate the glass? Easier said than done though. There’s one major problem to that: Houston has the best three-point defense in the conference. Unfortunately for SMU, it likely means that Houston is going to come into Dallas and dominate the game from start to finish. A single digit spread is baking in some home court advantage for SMU, but at the end of the day I just don’t think SMU has enough firepower to compete in this game. I am laying the 5 points with Houston here in this in-state rivalry.
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